Under-fire ALP cling to favouritism in the openeing Tasmanian election market!
Tags : Australia, media release, featured26th August 2009, by Daniel Hillege
The embattled Bartlett Labor government has opened a $1.70 favourite with leading election bookmaker Centrebet to hang on to power at the Tasmanian State election on March 20, but re-building Liberal is right in the battle at $2.10!
The embattled Bartlett Labor government has opened a $1.70 favourite with leading election bookmaker Centrebet to hang on to power at the Tasmanian State election on March 20, but re-building Liberal is right in the battle at $2.10!
Centrebet media chief and political analyst Neil Evans said that of all the State elections scheduled for the next 18 months, this could be the closest, with Labor protecting a slender majority and seemingly losing ground to a Liberal opposition that lacks dynamics, but is cashing in on government stumbling and a lack of solidarity!
“Remember, since the 2006 election win, the ALP has lost Premier Lennon, two Deputy Premiers and several Minister and Legislative Counsillors. New leader David Barlett has fought hard to repair a badly-damaged Labor image, and on top of that, many commentators believe Labor is nearing the end of a long political cycle in Tasmania,” Evans said.
“There is a voter spill-over from the Lennon years, and the current front bench is reportedly in disarray. On the other side, the Liberal team is widely considered to lack policy impact and punch, although a sweeping victory by the Liberal Vanessa Goodwin in a recent Pembroke by-election on Hobart’s pivotal Eastern Shore must be a strong lead!”
Evans said Centrebet was almost obligated to open Labor a narrow favourite given it must obtain “some spin-off” from a dominant Federal party, but the betting would be fascinating, with every chance both parties could go to the starting line locked together!
“The Liberals, under Will Hodgman, have a big opportunity! It’s whether they are good and strong enough to take it! Minority governments, even a hung parliament are all on the radar!”
- Meanwhile, Federal Labor remains a heavily-backed $1.35 favourite on Centrebet to win the next Australian poll, with the Coalition ($3.10) at its biggest price since losing power late November, 2007!
Embattled Liberal leader Malcolm Turnbull is $2.10 to be at the Coalition helm when Australia next votes, ahead of Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey ($2.75), but Tony Abbott ($6.50 into $5.75) and Andrew Robb ($6.00) have both been well supported by punters in the last couple of weeks! Former Treasurer Peter Costello has been specked from $15.00 into $12.00.
TAS STATE ELECTION (Sch: Mar 20, 2010) |
|
$1.70 |
LABOR |
$2.10 |
LIBERAL |
AUST FED ELECTION (Sch 2010/11) |
|
$1.35 |
LABOR |
$3.10 |
COALITION |
COALITION LEADER AT NEXT FED ELECTION |
|
$2.10 |
MALCOLM TURNBULL |
$2.75 |
JOE HOCKEY |
$5.75 |
TONY ABBOTT |
$6.00 |
ANDREW ROBB |
$12.00 |
PETER COSTELLO |
$13.00 |
ANY OTHER CANDIDATE |
$15.00 |
CHRISTOPHER PYNE |
$21.00 |
PETER DUTTON |
$26.00 |
JULIE BISHOP |
NSW STATE ELECTION (Sch: Mar 2011) |
|
$3.30 |
LABOR |
$1.30 |
COALITION |
LABOR LEADER AT NEXT NSW ELECTION |
|
$3.50 |
ANY OTHER CANDIDATE |
$4.00 |
FRANK SARTOR |
$4.00 |
CARMEL TEBBUTT |
$4.35 |
JOHN DELLA BOSCA |
$5.00 |
NATHAN REES |
$9.00 |
JOHN ROBERTSON |
$13.00 |
VIRGINIA JUDGE |
$21.00 |
VERITY FIRTH |
$34.00 |
DAVID CAMPBELL |
$34.00 |
JOE TRIPODI |
$41.00 |
STEVE WHAN |
$67.00 |
MORRIS IEMMA |
SA STATE ELECTION (Sch Mar 20, 2010) |
|
$1.12 |
LABOR |
$5.75 |
LIBERAL |
VIC STATE ELECTION (Sch 2010) |
|
$1.17 |
LABOR |
$4.50 |
COALITION |
FOR ALL THE MARKETS GO TO www.centrebet.com ELECTIONS
last update : 26th August 2009 13:36
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