COALITION CLOSES GAP AS MORE MONEY POURS IN! LABOR 1.37 TO $1.43 IN 7 DAYS!
Tags : Australia, neil evans, featured17th May 2010, by Unknown author
A 48-hour rush of money on the Coalition to form the next government – punctuated by a ‘smart’ bet of $10,000.00 at $2.80 – has seen the Opposition tighten the gap on the embattled Labor government to its closest point in the 30 months of head-to-
A 48-hour rush of money on the Coalition to form the next government – punctuated by a ‘smart’ bet of $10,000.00 at $2.80 – has seen the Opposition tighten the gap on the embattled Labor government to its closest point in the 30 months of head-to-head betting!
And punters have declared there will be no early election – backing the “After Oct 30” option from $5.50 down to $2.75 in the last week on Centrebet’s special “Election Date” market!
Centrebet analyst and media chief Neil Evans said while some behind-the-scenes Labor heavyweights are still pushing for a late August/early Sept poll, Prime Minister Rudd seems determined to serve the full term and ride out the emotional and political storm over his super profits tax and the shelving of the much-hyped ETS scheme! “The criticism and scepticism over the government’s budgetary plan to return the country to surplus in three years is relentless, and punters seemingly think the Coalition is still over the odds,” Evans said.
“The Opposition has commanded 90 per cent of the last $50,000.00 bet, including a recent stake of $10,000.00 at $2.80, and smaller and more moderate-sized punters are following suit. It’s hard to imagine the Rudd government could be tip-toeing through a potential minefield across key marginal seats when it wasn’t that long ago, the ALP was $1.17 and the Coalition - under a failing Malcolm Turnbull – was $5.10!”
The ‘After Oct 30’ option on Centrebet tightened to a $5.50 favourite a few weeks back, and punters have continued backing that option both sides of the Federal Budget! “We’ve taken bets of $1000.00 at $4.50, $750.00 at $3.50, $500.00 at $3.50 and $500.00 at $3.15,” Evans said. “The original $5.50 favourite – August 28 – is now $7.50, with other dates in August and September on the $8.00 line. Despite all the knives out for the PM, Kevin Rudd is still $1.15 to be in the top chair when Australia next votes, with flame-haired, head-nodding Deputy Julia Gillard a $4.90 hope!”
Evans said the anti-Labor backlash at the Federal level might be having a very damaging affect on the Brumby government retaining power in Victoria where Labor has eased from a red-hot $1.17 out to $1.40, and still nobody wants to touch them! “This is staggering! Labor in Victoria is a very well established party against an Opposition that lacks profile, yet they have firmed all the way in to $2.85 in recent months with nearly $20,000.00 bet, and we still can’t write a ticket for Labor to save ourselves,” he said.
AUST FED ELECTION (Sch 2010/11) |
COALITION LEADER AT NEXT AUST ELECTION |
|||||
$1.43 |
LABOR |
(out from $1.42) |
$1.06 |
TONY ABBOTT |
(in from $1.07) |
|
$2.70 |
COALITION |
(in from $2.75) |
$7.00 |
JOE HOCKEY |
(out from $6.50) |
|
$11.00 |
ANY OTHER |
(out from $10.00) |
||||
WHEN WILL NEXT AUST ELECTION BE HELD? |
||||||
$2.75 |
AFTER OCT 30 |
(in from $5.50) |
VIC STATE ELECTION (Sch: Nov 27, 2010) |
|||
$7.50 |
Aug-28 |
(out from $7.00) |
$1.40 |
LABOR |
(out from $1.38) |
|
$8.00 |
Sep-04 |
(out from $7.00) |
$2.85 |
COALITION |
(in from $2.90) |
|
$8.00 |
Aug-21 |
(out from $7.50) |
||||
$8.00 |
Aug-14 |
(out from $7.00) |
NSW STATE ELECTION (Sch Mar 2011) |
|||
$8.00 |
Aug-07 |
(out from $7.50) |
$5.30 |
LABOR |
|
|
$11.00 |
Sep-11 |
(out from $10.00) |
$1.14 |
COALITION |
|
|
$15.00 |
bar |
|
||||
COALITION LEADER AT NEXT NSW ELECTION |
||||||
JULIA GILLARD PM BY NEXT AUST ELECTION |
$1.20 |
BARRY O’FARRELL |
(in from $1.22) |
|||
$4.90 |
YES |
(out from $4.75) |
$3.65 |
MIKE BAIRD |
(out from $3.50) |
|
$1.15 |
NO |
(in from $1.16) |
$8.50 |
ANY OTHER |
|
|
FOR ALL THE MARKETS GO TO www.centrebet.com ELECTIONS
last update : 17th May 2010 10:44
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