Federal Election 2010.
Tags : press release, neil evans, media release, featured, Elections28th July 2010, by Daniel Hillege
Election News and Views @ Centrebet.
The latest money trails with top election bookmaker Centrebet prove the Liberal-National Coalition is on track to win back a stack of key seats across Qld, but the Opposition is stumbling in key seats in and around the western and southern fringes of Sydney that it must also dominate to win power at the August 21 Federal Election!
Centrebet Media Chief & primary analyst Neil Evans said the Coalition was gaining ground in marginal seats around the country, especially Qld, but is still a little way off claiming enough dominance to tip Labor out after one term!
“Consider, in NSW marginals the right money for the ALP is very strong for Maxine McKew to retain Bennelong, Mike Kelly to retain the bellwether seat of Eden-Monaro, Janelle Safin to win the north coast seat of Page, and Craig Thompson to win against the Central Coast grain and retain Dobell,” Evans said.
“But against that, Darren Jameson has been heavily backed and is storming to victory for the Liberals in the key Central Coast seat of Robertson, the National’s Luke Hartsuyker remains one of the country’s best backed candidates to win Cowper, punters have thrown their support behind Liberal Joanna Gash to claim Gilmore, Bob Baldwin is dominating the money in Paterson, while much-travelled Liberal Louise Markus has surged into narrow favouritism to claim the vital western Sydney seat of Macquarie!”
But Evans said Qld has become a clear hunting ground for the Liberal National opposition!
“Already, Andrew Laming has been backed from $1.80 into $1.60 to re-claim Bowman – Australia’s most marginal seat, the LNP’s George Christensen is dominating the money in the tight seat of Dawson, heavily-backed Ken O’Dowd seems set to prise the crunch seat of Flynn from Labor’s Chris Trevor, Paul Neville has been very well backed to win Hinkler for the LNP, as has Jane Prentice in the tight seat of Ryan.
“The biggest statement, though, comes in the bellwether Far Nth Qld seat of Leichhardt where despite needing to peg back a 4.5% Labor margin, very smart punters have backed the LNP’s Warren Entsch from $1.83 into $1.57 to claim victory!”
But, Evans said, bucking the LNP trend in Qld is Labor’s Brett Raguse, well-backed to retain Forde, Jon Sullivan taking all the money to win Longman, while Peter Dutton and Fiona McNamara in Dickson and Ewan Jones and Tony Murphy in Herbert are all locked in a battle royal for supremacy with money going both ways!
NSW |
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BANKS |
||
$1.03 |
DARYL MELHAM (ALP) |
|
$9.00 |
RON DELEZIO (LIB) |
|
$41.00 |
PAUL SPIGHT (GREENS) |
|
$61.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BARTON |
||
$1.01 |
ROBERT McCLELLAND (ALP) |
|
$11.00 |
JOHN LA MELA (LIB) |
|
$41.00 |
SIMONE FRANCIS (GREENS) |
|
$67.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
***BENNELONG |
||
$1.40 |
MAXINE McKEW (ALP) |
(in from $1.55) |
$2.72 |
JOHN ALEXANDER (LIB) |
(out from $2.30) |
$29.00 |
LINDSAY PETERS (GREENS) |
(out from $16.00) |
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BEROWRA |
||
$1.01 |
PHILLIP RUDDOCK (LIB) |
|
$11.00 |
MICHAEL STOVE (ALP) |
|
$34.00 |
TONI WRIGHT TURNER (GREENS) |
|
$67.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BLAXLAND |
||
$1.01 |
JASON CLARE (ALP) |
|
$11.00 |
MARK MAJEWSKI (LIB) |
|
$34.00 |
MALIKEH MICHELS (GREENS) |
|
$67.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BRADFIELD |
||
$1.00 |
PAUL FLETCHER (LIB) |
|
$15.00 |
SUSIE GEMMELL (GREENS) |
|
$29.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
CALARE |
||
$1.14 |
JOHN COBB (NAT) |
|
$4.50 |
KEVIN DUFFY (ALP) |
|
$26.00 |
PAUL BLANCH (IND) |
|
$34.00 |
KAREN ROMANO (IND) |
|
$51.00 |
JEREMY BUCKINGHAM (GREENS) |
|
$126.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
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|
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CHARLTON |
||
$1.01 |
GREG COMBET (ALP) |
|
$11.00 |
JOHN McDONALD (LIB) |
|
$34.00 |
LYNDON JACOBI (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
ANN LAWLER (CEC) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
CHIFLEY |
||
$1.02 |
ED HUSIC (ALP) |
|
$10.00 |
VENUS PRIEST (LIB) |
|
$17.00 |
DAVID BARKER (IND) |
|
$67.00 |
DEBBIE ROBERTSON (GREENS) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
COOK |
||
$1.04 |
SCOTT MORRISON (LIB) |
|
$8.00 |
PETER SCAYSBROOK (ALP) |
|
$34.00 |
NAOMI WAIZER (GREENS) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
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|
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COWPER |
||
$1.38 |
LUKE HARTSUYKER (NAT) |
(in from $1.70) |
$2.78 |
PAUL SEFKY (ALP) |
(out from $2.10) |
$31.00 |
DOMINIC KING (GREENS) |
(out from $26.00) |
|
|
|
CUNNINGHAM |
||
$1.01 |
SHARON BIRD (ALP) |
|
$11.00 |
PHILIP CLIFFORD (LIB) |
|
$26.00 |
GEORGE TAKACS (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
JESS MOORE (SAL) |
|
$126.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
DOBELL |
||
$1.52 |
CRAIG THOMSON (ALP) |
|
$2.36 |
JOHN McNAMARA (LIB) |
|
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
***EDEN-MONARO |
||
$1.32 |
MIKE KELLY (ALP) |
(in from $1.34) |
$3.10 |
DAVID GAZZARD (LIB) |
(out from $3.00) |
$26.00 |
CATHERINE MOORE (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
FARRER |
||
$1.01 |
SUSSAN LEY (LIB) |
|
$11.00 |
CHRISTIAN EMMERY (ALP) |
|
$41.00 |
STEPHEN BINGLE (DEM) |
|
$67.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
GILMORE |
||
$1.52 |
JOANNA GASH (LIB) |
(in from $1.70) |
$2.37 |
NEIL REILLY (ALP) |
(out from $2.10) |
$31.00 |
BEN VAN WIJNGAART (GREENS) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
*GREENWAY |
||
$1.26 |
MICHELLE ROWLAND (ALP) |
(in from $1.30) |
$3.25 |
JAYME DIAZ (LIB) |
(out from $3.10) |
$26.00 |
PAUL TAYLOR (GREENS) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
HUGHES |
||||
$1.80 |
CRAIG KELLY (LIB) |
(in from $1.85) |
||
$1.90 |
BRENT THOMAS (ALP) |
(out from $1.85) |
||
$26.00 |
SUSAN ROBERTS (GREENS) |
|
||
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
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HUNTER |
||||
$1.01 |
JOEL FITZGIBBON (ALP) |
|
||
$10.00 |
MICHAEL JOHNSON (NAT) |
|
||
$61.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
||
LINDSAY |
||||
$1.38 |
DAVID BRADBURY (ALP) |
(out from $1.34) |
||
$2.80 |
FIONA SCOTT (LIB) |
(in from $3.12) |
||
$26.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
||
LYNE |
||||
$1.01 |
ROB OAKESHOTT (IND) |
|
||
$11.00 |
DAVID GILLESPIE (NAT) |
|
||
$21.00 |
FREDERICK LIPS (ALP) |
|
||
$67.00 |
IAN OXENFORD (GREENS) |
|
||
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
MACARTHUR |
||||
$1.82 |
NICHOLAS BLEASDALE (ALP) |
|
||
$1.88 |
RUSSELL MATHESON (LIB) |
|
||
$26.00 |
KATE McCULLOGH (ONP) |
|
||
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
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MACQUARIE |
||||
$1.80 |
LOUISE MARKUS (LIB) |
|
||
$1.90 |
SUSAN TEMPLEMAN (ALP) |
|
||
$21.00 |
CARMEL McCULLUM (GREENS) |
|
||
$51.00 |
AOC |
|
||
|
|
|
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NEW ENGLAND |
||||
$1.01 |
TONY WINDSOR (IND) |
|
||
$11.00 |
TIM COATES (NAT) |
|
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$26.00 |
GREG SMITH (ALP) |
|
||
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
||
NEWCASTLE |
||||
$1.01 |
SHARON GRIERSON (ALP) |
|
||
$11.00 |
BRAD LUKE (LIB) |
|
||
$17.00 |
MICHAEL OSBORNE (GREENS) |
|
||
$67.00 |
ZANE ALCORN (SAL) |
|
||
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
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|
|
|
||
PAGE |
||||
$1.42 |
JANELLE SAFIN (ALP) |
(in from $1.55) |
||
$2.63 |
KEVIN HOGAN (NAT) |
(out from $2.41) |
||
$21.00 |
JEFF JOHNSON (GREENS) |
|
||
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
|
|
|
||
PATERSON |
||||
$1.66 |
BOB BALDWIN (LIB) |
(in from $1.75) |
||
$2.10 |
JIM ARNEMAN (ALP) |
(out from $1.96) |
||
$51.00 |
JAN DAVIS (GREENS) |
|
||
$61.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
||
ROBERTSON |
||
$1.42 |
DARREN JAMESON (LIB) |
(in from $1.65) |
$2.65 |
DEBORAH O’NEILL (ALP) |
(out from $2.10) |
$41.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
SHORTLAND |
||
$1.01 |
JILL HALL (ALP) |
|
$10.00 |
DEBORAH NARAYANAN (LIB) |
|
$34.00 |
PHILLIPA PARSONS (GREENS) |
|
$41.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
SYDNEY |
||
$1.07 |
TANYA PLIBERSEK (ALP) |
|
$6.80 |
TONY HICKEY (GREENS) |
|
$21.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
WARRINGAH |
||
$1.01 |
TONY ABBOTT (LIB) |
|
$11.00 |
HUGH ZOCHLING (ALP) |
|
$51.00 |
MATTHEW DRAKE-BROCKMAN (GR) |
|
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
*WENTWORTH |
||
$1.16 |
MALCOLM TURNBULL (LIB) |
(in from $1.30) |
$4.60 |
STEVEN LEWIS (ALP) |
(out from $3.25) |
$26.00 |
MATTHEW ROBERTSON (GREENS) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
QLD |
||
BLAIR |
||
$1.32 |
SHAYNE NEUMANN (ALP) |
(in from $1.34) |
$2.90 |
NEIL ZABEL (LIB) |
(out from $2.85) |
$26.00 |
PATRICIA PETERSEN (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
JOSHUA OLYSLAGERS (FFP) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BONNER |
||
$1.38 |
KERRY REA (ALP) |
(in from $1.40) |
$2.70 |
ROSS VASTA (LIB) |
(out from $2.68) |
$34.00 |
DARRYL ROSIN (GREENS) |
|
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BOWMAN |
||
$1.60 |
ANDREW LAMING (LIB) |
(in from $1.80) |
$2.20 |
JENNY PETERS (ALP) |
(out from $1.92) |
$41.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
BRISBANE |
||
$1.40 |
ARCH BEVIS (ALP) |
|
$3.00 |
TERESA GAMBARO (LIB) |
|
$11.00 |
ANDREW BARTLETT (GREENS) |
(in from $16.00) |
$81.00 |
MARK WHITE (FF) |
|
$101.00 |
EWAN SAUNDERS (SAL) |
|
$126.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
CAPRICORNIA |
||
$1.03 |
KIRSTEN LIVERMORE (ALP) |
(in from $1.05) |
$8.50 |
MICHELLE LANDRY (LIB) |
(out from $7.85) |
$34.00 |
PAUL BAMBRICK (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
SANDRA CORNELOUP (FFP) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
DAWSON |
||
$1.50 |
GEORGE CHRISTENSEN (LNP) |
(in from $1.68) |
$2.42 |
MIKE BRUNKER (ALP) |
(out from $2.06) |
$34.00 |
JONATHON DYKYI (GREENS) |
(out from $26.00) |
$61.00 |
ROBERT JAMIESON (IND) |
|
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
DICKSON |
||
$1.85 |
FIONA McNAMARA (ALP) |
(out from $1.80) |
$1.85 |
PETER DUTTON (LIB) |
(in from $1.90) |
$51.00 |
ALAN REVIE (FF) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
FADDEN |
||
$1.01 |
STUART ROBERT (LIB) |
(in from $1.04) |
$11.00 |
RANA WATSON (ALP) |
(out from $8.75) |
$34.00 |
GRAEME MAIZEY (GREENS) |
|
$81.00 |
BARRY NICHOLSON (FFP) |
|
$126.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE) |
|
|
|
|
FAIRFAX |
||
$1.32 |
ALEX SOMLYAY (LIB) |
(in from $1.40) |
$3.10 |
DAN McINTYRE (ALP) |
(out from $2.70) |
$34.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
FISHER |
||
$1.26 |
PETER SLIPPER (LNP) |
(in from $1.30) |
$3.50 |
CHRIS CUMMINS (ALP) |
(out from $3.12) |
$41.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
FORDE |
||
$1.60 |
BRETT RAGUSE (ALP) |
(in from $1.68) |
$2.20 |
BERT VAN MANEN (LIB) |
(out from $2.07) |
$51.00 |
DEREK RADKE (FFP) |
|
$61.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
FLYNN |
||
$1.55 |
KEN O’DOWD (LIB) |
(in from $1.75) |
$2.30 |
CHRIS TREVOR (ALP) |
(out from $2.00) |
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
HERBERT |
||
$1.85 |
EWAN JONES (LNP) |
|
$1.85 |
TONY MOONEY (ALP) |
|
$26.00 |
MICHAEL PUNSHON (FFP) |
|
$51.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
HINKLER |
||
$1.38 |
PAUL NEVILLE (LNP) |
(in from $1.55) |
$2.80 |
BELINDA McNIVEN (ALP) |
(out from $2.40) |
$31.00 |
ADRIAN WONE (GREENS) |
(out from $26.00) |
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
LEICHHARDT |
||
$1.57 |
WARREN ENTSCH (LNP) |
(in from $1.83) |
$2.27 |
JIM TURNOUR (ALP) |
(out from $1.88) |
$51.00 |
YODIE BATZKE (FFP) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
*LONGMAN |
||
$1.47 |
JON SULLIVAN (ALP) |
(in from $1.70) |
$2.45 |
WYATT ROY (LNP) |
(out from $2.05) |
$51.00 |
ANDREW JACKSON (DLP) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
PETRIE |
||
$1.40 |
YVETTE D’ATH (ALP) |
|
$2.70 |
DEAN TEASDALE (LNP) |
|
$26.00 |
PETER JEREMIJENKO (GREENS) |
|
$67.00 |
SALLY VINCENT (FFP) |
|
$81.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
**RYAN |
||
$1.60 |
JANE PRENTICE (LNP) |
(in from $1.85) |
$2.20 |
STEVE MILES (ALP) |
(out from $1.85) |
$41.00 |
SANDRA BAYLEY (GREENS) |
(out from $26.00) |
$41.00 |
MICHAEL JOHNSON (IND) |
(out from $26.00) |
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
WRIGHT |
||
$1.28 |
SCOTT BUCHHOLZ (LIB) |
|
$3.35 |
ANDREW RAMSAY (ALP) |
|
$26.00 |
ANNA BRIDLE (GREENS) |
|
$67.00 |
JEREMY FREDERICKS (FFP) |
|
$101.00 |
ANY OTHER C’DATE |
|
|
|
|
AUST FEDERAL ELECTION – AUG 21 |
||
$1.27 |
LABOR |
(out from $1.24) |
$3.60 |
COALITION |
(in from $3.90) |
last update : 28th July 2010 17:34
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